The Current Events Annual Seminar will be from 10 a.m. to noon Tuesday, Jan. 8 at BIG ARTS Phillips Gallery, and give an outlook for the economy with a panel of three experts:

Dick Pyle is the president of Sanibel Captiva Trust Company where he has, since 2003, been a member of the Sanibel Captiva Trust Company Asset Management Committee. His 47 years of investment research and portfolio management experience has included being Co-founder, Director, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Winslow Capital Management, Inc. in Minneapolis from 1992 to 2003. From 1982 to 1992, he served as Managing Director and Research Analyst at Piper Jaffray in Minneapolis. The discussion will lead off with a summary of his company’s forecast for economic Growth in 2018.

Dr. Larry Davidson, Professor Emeritus of Business Economics and Public Policy at Indiana University. His research interests focus on the measurement and impacts of globalization. Dr. Davidson has a blog and regularly comments on economic policy. Dr. Davidson has conducted courses in Economics at the BIG ARTS Winter Academy for the last seven years. Dr. Davidson will comment on the forecasts and the effects of monetary and fiscal policy and trade negotiations on the economy.


Dr. David Blanchflower is a labour economist and professor of economics at Dartmouth College, New Hampshire as well as a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He was an external member of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England from June 2006 to May 2009. He now lives on Sanibel. Last year he suggested that a recession might occur within two years, i.e. by the end of 2019. Dr. Blanchflower believes that there is considerable underemployment in the United States and that things are not going as well as they appear for workers and that expansionary fiscal and monetary policies (including interest rate restraint) are still appropriate. His new book, Not working: Where have all the good jobs gone? comes out in June of 2019.